Document Type : Original Article
Authors
1
Faculty member of Computer Engineering Department , Faculty of Electrical and Computer Engineering ,Technical and Vocational University, Tehran, Iran
2
Master of Science in Computer Science, Faculty of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science, University of Sistan and Baluchestan, Zahedan, Iran
3
Master’s Student in Information Technology Management, Faculty of Management and Economics, University of Sistan and Baluchestan, Zahedan, Iran.
10.30508/kdip.2026.552896.1166
Abstract
The Iranian banking sector evolved significantly from 2018 to 2022, shifting from traditional deposit-based models to digital and innovative ones amid economic sanctions and technological progress. This study classifies the business models of 15 major Iranian banks using k-means cluster analysis on multidimensional financial indicators and qualitative strategy assessments.Quantitative metrics include non-interest income to total income ratio (diversification), loan-to-deposit ratio (lending intensity), return on assets (ROA; profitability), investment-to-assets ratio (asset strategy), and non-performing loans (NPL) ratio (risk exposure). Qualitative factors evaluate digital adoption, niche focus, and innovation.Optimal clusters were identified as k=3 via Elbow (inflection at k=3), Silhouette (peak at k=4, but k=3 selected for balance), and Gap methods, with ANOVA and Tukey tests confirming significant inter-group differences (p<0.05).Results reveal three archetypes: Traditional commercial banks (mostly state-owned; ROA≈1.4%; interest-dominant, high NPLs, low diversification); Specialized banks (niche-oriented, e.g., agriculture; ROA≈1.7%; balanced portfolios); Innovative banks (private-led; ROA≈2.2%; high non-interest income, digitalization, lower NPLs).Findings partially align with state-private ownership divides but highlight private sector innovation trends. Implications: Tailored regulations to promote diversification in traditional models and enhance cyber resilience for innovative ones. Policymakers should foster tech partnerships. Future research could incorporate macroeconomic factors like inflation for longitudinal insights, aiding sustainable banking development in Iran.
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